Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
24 Villanova 100.0%   7   25 - 9 13 - 5 25 - 9 13 - 5 +13.6      +9.4 15 +4.2 68 61.9 330 +13.5 28 +13.8 1
27 Marquette 100.0%   6   24 - 9 12 - 6 24 - 9 12 - 6 +13.4      +7.5 20 +5.9 37 71.4 106 +13.5 29 +12.4 2
49 Creighton 38.3%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 +10.1      +6.3 33 +3.8 80 71.0 120 +8.7 57 +8.7 6
50 Seton Hall 98.8%   8   20 - 13 9 - 9 20 - 13 9 - 9 +9.8      +3.9 71 +5.8 39 71.6 103 +10.7 46 +8.7 5
60 Xavier 17.6%   18 - 15 9 - 9 18 - 15 9 - 9 +8.1      +5.2 46 +2.9 98 64.2 298 +8.3 61 +8.9 4
64 Providence 3.8%   18 - 15 7 - 11 18 - 15 7 - 11 +7.7      +0.7 156 +7.0 24 68.6 182 +7.6 69 +6.3 10
69 Butler 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 +7.2      +4.8 53 +2.4 111 65.7 264 +7.0 76 +6.4 9
73 St. John's 42.5%   11   21 - 12 8 - 10 21 - 12 8 - 10 +7.0      +4.3 65 +2.7 102 75.4 43 +9.6 56 +7.7 7
76 Georgetown 26.5%   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +6.5      +4.5 59 +2.0 119 78.7 19 +8.1 63 +9.1 3
91 DePaul 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 +5.4      +5.0 51 +0.4 154 72.4 88 +5.5 97 +6.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Marquette 2.0 100.0
Creighton 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 3.0 100.0
Xavier 3.0 100.0
Providence 8.0 100.0
Butler 8.0 100.0
St. John's 7.0 100.0
Georgetown 3.0 100.0
DePaul 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 13 - 5 100.0
Marquette 12 - 6 100.0
Creighton 9 - 9 100.0
Seton Hall 9 - 9 100.0
Xavier 9 - 9 100.0
Providence 7 - 11 100.0
Butler 7 - 11 100.0
St. John's 8 - 10 100.0
Georgetown 9 - 9 100.0
DePaul 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Marquette
Creighton
Seton Hall
Xavier
Providence
Butler
St. John's
Georgetown
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 7   0.1 2.4 17.2 42.9 37.1 0.4
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.0 2.0 28.5 53.3 16.2 0.0 100.0%
Creighton 38.3% 0.0% 38.3% 0.2 0.8 6.4 22.1 8.8 0.0 61.7 38.3%
Seton Hall 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 8   0.0 4.6 49.8 38.3 6.0 0.1 1.2 98.8%
Xavier 17.6% 0.0% 17.6% 0.0 0.1 1.2 9.0 7.2 0.0 82.4 17.6%
Providence 3.8% 0.0% 3.8% 0.1 1.6 2.1 96.2 3.8%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. John's 42.5% 0.0% 42.5% 11   0.0 1.0 9.4 27.2 4.9 57.5 42.5%
Georgetown 26.5% 0.0% 26.5% 0.0 0.1 2.5 15.7 8.1 0.0 73.5 26.5%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.2% 24.5% 8.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.6% 26.6% 8.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Creighton 38.3% 22.4% 27.7% 9.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 43.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Xavier 17.6% 13.8% 9.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 3.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 42.5% 19.9% 30.4% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 26.5% 19.3% 14.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.3 0.1 18.2 44.0 30.0 7.2 0.5
1st Round 100.0% 3.8 0.3 36.1 46.0 15.8 1.8 0.0
2nd Round 94.8% 2.0 5.2 25.2 42.1 23.9 3.5 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 50.2% 0.6 49.8 39.6 10.0 0.6 0.0
Elite Eight 18.0% 0.2 82.0 17.0 1.0
Final Four 5.3% 0.1 94.7 5.3 0.1
Final Game 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4 0.0
Champion 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3